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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

5 Ratings: 2.0
A book by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Guest Reviewer: Chris Anderson      Chris Anderson is editor-in-chief of Wired magazine and the author of The Long Tail: Why the Future of Business Is Selling Less of More.       Four hundred years ago, Francis … see full wiki

Tags: Books, Nonfiction, The Black Swan The Impact Of The Highly Improbable, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Uncertainty
Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Genre: Computers & Internet, Nonfiction
Publisher: Random House
3 reviews about The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly...
review by . December 01, 2009
This is an overly complex, opaque and rambling exposition of some interesting ideas which, unfortunately, the author doesn't explicate with precision or take very far. The notion that we can't predict the future and that the evidence of the past is not exhaustively or even substantially predictive of what is to come is, of course, hardly new though it's true that many of us often seem to forget this. Taleb does a decent job in highlighting this mistake in our thinking and of showing how, given the …
review by . December 20, 2009
I came to this book expecting a clever but flawed argument for intellectual laziness or superficial thinking, another popular argument for "gut" or "intuition" or "Zen." Or perhaps a slick Gladwell-esque treatment of randomness. Perhaps a popularization of postmodernism or neo-pragmatism applied to financial markets, or a "Thriving on Chaos" (Tom Peters) for the 21st century.     This book is none of those things. Instead I found myself immersed in a very intriguing and deep …
review by . March 08, 2008
Nassim Nicholas Taleb is, in equal parts, enthralling and utterly infuriating. He has written a book so sure of its own certitude, that has one effective lesson: there can be no certitude. Taleb makes the enormous mistake of believing (and saying) that he's solved the eternal verities - that after millennia of philosophical, ethical, political, economic and social debate: thrust and counter-thrust - that mathematics and physics can save the day.     While there is certainly value …
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