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83rd Academy Awards

A 2011 awards show that will honor the best films of 2010.

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And the Oscar Goes to ...

  • Feb 24, 2011
It’s Oscar time again, and while for many that equates to little more than a showcase for designer clothing and lists for the best and worst dressed, for me, it equates to a celebration of the movies. Does that sound corny? I admit, I still hold to the belief that the Oscars mean something. Besides, many of the Academy’s selections have given me reason to keep the faith; 127 Hours, The Kids Are All Right, True Grit, Toy Story 3, Rabbit Hole, Blue Valentine, The King’s Speech, and The Social Network were all great movies, and fortunately, they have been recognized. What I would like to do is a quick rundown of the major categories and, to the best of my ability, predict the winners. How will it turn out? You’ll just have to watch the Oscars on Sunday, February 27 and, along with hosts James Franco and Anne Hathaway, find out for yourselves.
First, the Best Picture category. Despite a total of ten nominated films, it’s quite obvious at this point it will come down to just two: The Social Network and The King’s Speech. There was a time when I was convinced the former would have absolutely no competition, given its timely subject matter, its engaging characters, its clever editing, and its smart and witty screenplay (and let me just say, if Aaron Sorkin doesn’t win the Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar, I will be personally affronted). It also has already won four Golden Globes (including Best Motion Picture – Drama), two BAFTA Awards (including Best Director), four Critics Choice Awards, and three Satellite Awards. If this movie wins, it’s very likely there will also be an award for director David Fincher.
But with all the attention The King’s Speech has been getting, it’s not as clear cut for me as it once was. It has certainly done well in the acting department; as King George VI, Colin Firth has already won a Golden Globe and a BAFTA Award, and the entire cast took home a SAG Award. It also outweighs The Social Network in the number of nominations – twelve, as opposed to eight. How do I make a prediction? Both are wonderful films, and they each landed a spot on my ten best of 2010 list. In terms of relevancy, audacity, and sheer entertainment, it seems to me that The Social Network is more deserving. In terms of performance and earned emotional impact, then I would favor The King’s Speech, as well as director Tom Hooper. This is going to depend entirely on what mood the Academy is in.
Now, on to the acting categories – which, for the last two years, has been very easy to predict. On the basis of award wins, critical assessment, and general media buzz, here’s how I’m certain it will go down: Best Actor, Colin Firth for The King’s Speech; Best Actress, Natalie Portman for Black Swan; Best Supporting Actor, Christian Bale for The Fighter; Best Supporting Actress, Melissa Leo for The Fighter. It’s difficult to speculate on potential upsets, in part because I missed Jacki Weaver’s performance in Animal Kingdom, but mostly because I feel every other nominee is deserving (including Bale and Leo, and I didn’t like The Fighter). But it’s highly unlikely there will be any upsets, so why get into it?
Let me now take a moment to discuss a couple of the other nominees, not for their potential at the Oscars, but strictly on a personal level. Although I’m certain it will not win, I was pleased that Winter’s Bone was recognized both as a Best Picture contender and for Jennifer Lawrence’s performance. It was one of the best hidden gems of the summer, and now that it’s on DVD, I’m happy to know it will reach a wider audience. The same goes for The Kids Are All Right, one of the most honest and compelling examinations of family and the institution of marriage; apart from Best Picture and Best Actress (Annette Benning), it has also been recognized for its funny and heartfelt original screenplay. What do I think will actually win this award? Although Inception was a masterful work of science fiction, and although Another Year was strong in character, there’s no doubt in my mind it will be The King’s Speech – or, more accurately, its writer, David Seidler.
I can’t speak for everyone, but I’m can’t wait for Sunday night. I hope you’ll be tuning in with me – provided, of course, that you’re actually interested in the nominees and not so much in the Red Carpet fashion. Unless I see a glaring disaster along the lines of Bjork or Trey Parker and Matt Stone, then I can honestly say that I don’t much care who will be wearing what. The fact that we put so much effort into noticing that is actually a little disconcerting to me. It’s about the movies, not the dress such and such an actress is wearing. If you want to gawk at designer clothing and scrutinize every little detail, might I suggest an episode of Project Runway?

Update on Feb. 27, 2011
It seems my predictions in the acting categories were all correct. Congratulations to Colin Firth, Natalie Portman, Christian Bale, and Melissa Leo. As for Best Picture, I was wise to not pin myself down with a definite prediciton, although I was right in that it would be a toss-up between The Social Network and The King's Speech. It ultimately went to the latter, and it also earned director Tom Hooper a Best Director Oscar. Congratuations to him and his cast and crew. As for the show itself, the staging and set designs were suberb, and Anne Hathaway did a decent job – and proved she has an incredible singing voice. Her co-host, Best Actor nominee James Franco, was a little too detached from the whole thing. Was he nervous? Was he under the influence? Or was he not taking the show seriously? Whatever the case, it can't possibly be a good sign when the most memorable thing he could do was briefly appear in drag – as Marilyn Monroe, no less.

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February 25, 2012
We'll see what happens on this Sunday night.
February 27, 2011
I didn't see many of the films but out of the 3 I saw, I have a feeling there could be a surprise. 127 hours might win best picture while Colin Firth for Best Actor. Just a quick guess, that's all...
February 26, 2011
Great write up
February 26, 2011
Thanks. Now I have to wait and see how right my predictions are.
February 24, 2011
sweet write up! How did I miss this last night? Oh well...But hey, I am with you, I am glad that WINTER'S BONE has been nominated at least. I missed Animal Kingdom and have yet to see 127 Hours, so we'll see. Thanks for this write up!
February 24, 2011
It should be somewhat awkward for James Franco, who's not only co-hosting but is also up for Best Actor. Because I don't think he will win (although his performance was very good), there could potentially be a tense moment when he and Anne Hathaway announce the next presenter. But you never know.
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Chris Pandolfi ()
Ranked #5
Growing up a shy kid in a quiet suburb of Los Angeles, Chris Pandolfi knows all about the imagination. Pretend games were always the most fun for him, especially on the school playground; he and his … more
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The 83rd Academy Awards, presented by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS), will honor the best films of 2010. The ceremony will take place on February 27, 2011, at the Kodak Theatre in Hollywood, California. During the ceremony, AMPAS will present its annual Academy Awards (commonly referred to as Oscars) in 24 competitive categories. The ceremony will be televised in the United States on ABC. Actors James Franco and Anne Hathaway will co-host the ceremony, marking the first time for each. Nominations for the 2010 awards were announced on January 25, 2011. The film receiving the most nominations was The King's Speech, with twelve.
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